Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author shorted TSLA at $383 and exited at $357 for a gain, still holding open calls at $352 indicating further downside expectation.
Author bought 50 call options expiring January 9th ahead of Tesla's Cybercab launch event today, expecting a near-term price move. Plans to close the position today or tomorrow to capitalize on the event catalyst.
Tesla trades at absurdly inflated multiples (243x FCF, 263x earnings) with minimal capital returns to shareholders, while competitors like BYD trade at 18–25x earnings and Toyota at much lower valuations despite superior profitability and dividends. Without demonstrable free cash flow returns, Tesla remains overvalued even at 50x earnings.
Author is bullish on Tesla with +100k in options positions, including direct Tesla options and leveraged ETF calls. They expect the position to be profitable soon.
After post-earnings selloff, averaging down on TSLA call options as a volatility play, expecting the initial correction to reverse over the next several days before Aug 28 expiry.
BYD is outselling Tesla globally and offers competitive advantages with cheaper pricing and physical controls. The author observed minimal Tesla presence and high BYD adoption in Australia, suggesting Tesla is losing market share to superior competition.
Author holds put contracts on Tesla ahead of delivery numbers, betting on a negative print or broader weakness. The premarket move suggests the position is underwater and the author is expressing anxiety about the outcome.
TSLA will be the primary public proxy for SpaceX exposure during launch hype week, as retail investors seek the easiest access to Elon/SpaceX momentum. Interconnected business relationships and Elon narrative control create short-term call upside in a one-week attention window.
Author holds 223 Tesla $990 calls expiring Dec 18, 2026, betting on a surprise SpaceX-Tesla merger announcement that would drive dramatic upside. The merger would allow Elon to consolidate AI and robotics control across both entities, with shares trading in lockstep pre-close.
Author expects SpaceX to announce a merger with Tesla before or during the SpaceX IPO process, with the announcement likely at Tesla's June 11 shareholder meeting. A merger announcement would drive Tesla stock 30% higher immediately, with further upside if SpaceX IPO pops 50%, creating massive leverage on long call options.
Author bought 0DTE calls when TSLA dipped at open, betting on mean reversion from oversold RSI conditions. The position paid off significantly on positive news-driven bounce.
Author is bullish on Tesla due to multiple near-term catalysts including robotaxi deployment, HW4+ hardware, next-generation AI chips (AI5/AI6), Optimus humanoid robots, semi truck production ramp, and Tesla's stake in a potential SpaceX IPO. These catalysts position Tesla for significant upside similar to past mega-cap growth stories.
JPMorgan issued a Sell rating with a $145 price target, implying ~60% downside. Tesla missed Q1 deliveries and built excess inventory, signaling demand weakness and downward pricing pressure.
End of results.